[*BCM*] The movement that divides us

[Adam Rosi-Kessel]

Paul Schimek wrote:
> If you look at the crash statistics, you will see that *at least* half
> of all car-bike collisions among adult bicyclists occur when the
> bicyclist is clearly not following the rules of the road (e.g., going
> the wrong way or failing to yield when required). The conclusion is that
> following the rules will make you safer.

Another valid conclusion is that half of all bicyclists don't follow the
rules; and that not following the rules doesn't make you any less safe.

Your conclusion requires the unstated premise that bicyclists who don't
follow the rules are a minority of bicyclists, and thus they are
disproportionately represented in crashes. Do you have support for that premise?